In/Stability under Ideal Income Tax and Ideal Consumption Tax
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.32826/cude.v44i124.115Keywords:
Progressive income tax, progressive consumption tax, multiplier-accelerator model, balanced-budget ruleAbstract
This article compares the stabilization properties of a comprehensive income tax and a broad-based consumption tax within a typical multiplier-accelerator model of the business cycle. It is found that: (i) a progressive consumption tax is more stabilizing than a progressive income tax in the absence of a budget rule, (ii) the income tax is as stabilizing in the presence of such a rule as consumption tax is in its absence, (iii) under reasonable tax rates, both taxes are equally stabilizing under a balance-budget rule, (iv) both at an output cost relative to the case in which there is no such rule. Also, (v) in the absence of the balanced-budget rule, the consumption tax is superior from the viewpoint of fixed-point output under equal for both taxes revenue, (vi) but no clear-cut results may be obtained in the presence of this rule, (vii)which rule complicates in addition the matter of tax equivalence considerably, making it a matter of nonlinear taxation even in the simple analytical framework of this paper.
References
Alonso-Carrera, Jaime, Jordi Caballe and Xavier Raurich (2002), "Income Taxation with Habit Formation and Consumption Externalities", UFAE and IAE Working Paper. http://pareto.uab.es/wp/2001/49601.pdf
Alonso-Carrera, Jaime, Jordi Caballe and Xavier Raurich (2005), "Growth, Habit Formation, and Catching-up with the Joneses", European Economic Review, 49, 1665-1691.
Balassone, Fabrizio and Daniele Franco (2001), “EMU Fiscal Rules: A New Answer to an Old Question?”,Banca d’Italia, Proceedings of the Workshop on Fiscal Rules, 2001, pp. 34-58. https://ssrn.com/abstract=2094456
Boyer, Daniel J. and Susan M. Russell (1995), “Is it Time for a Consumption Tax?”,National Tax Journal, 48(3), 363-372.
Carroll, Robert, David Joulfaian, and James Mackie(2011), “Income Versus Consumption Tax Baselines for Tax Expenditures”, National Tax Journal, 64 (2, Part 2), 491-510.
Fanti, Luciano and PieroManfredi (2003),“Progressive Income Taxation and Economic Cycles: A Multiplier-Accelerator Model”, Discussion Papers del Dipartimento di ScienzeEconomiche – Università di Pisa, no. 11. http://www-dse.ec.unipi.it/ricerca/discussion-papers.htm
Gale, William G. and Andrew A. Samwick(2016), “Effects of Income Tax Changes on Economic Growth”, Brookings Institution and Tax Policy Center Working Paper.https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/09_Effects_Income_Tax_Changes_Economic_Growth_Gale_Samwick_.pdf
Ghilardi and Rossi (2014), “Aggregate Stability and Balanced-Budget Rules”, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 46(8), 1787-1809.
Giannitsarou, Chryssi (2007),“Balanced Budget Rules and Aggregate Instability: The Role of Consumption Taxes”, Economic Journal, 117, 1423-1435.
Hutchison, Michael M. and IlanNoy(2003), “Macroeconomic Effects of IMF-sponsored Programs in Latin America: Output Costs, Program Recidivism and the Vicious Cycle of Failed Stabilizations”, Journal of International Money and Finance, 22(7), 991-1014
Karpetis, Christos and ErotokritosVarelas (2012), “Fiscal and Monetary Policy Interaction in a Simple Accelerator Model”, International Advances in Economic Research, 18(2), 199-214.
Kennedy, Suzanne and Janine Robbins (2001),“The Role of Fiscal Rules in Determining Fiscal Performance”, Department of Finance Canada Working Papers 16.http://www.fin.gc.ca/pub/pdfs/wp2001-16e.pdf
Krol, Robert and Shirley Svorny (2007), “Budget Rules and State Business Cycles”, Public Finance Review, 35(4), 530-544.
Kumhof, Michael and Douglas Laxton (2009), "Simple, Implementable Fiscal Policy Rules", IMF Working Paper 76. https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2009/wp0976.pdf
Leith, Campbell and Simon Wren-Lewis (2000), "Interactions between Monetary and Fiscal Policy Rules", Economic Journal, 110, C93-C108.
Levinson, Arik (2007),“Budget Rules and State Business Cycles: A Comment”, Public Finance Review, 35(4), 545-549.
McKnight, Stephen (2017), “Are Consumption Taxes Preferable to Income Taxes for Preventing Macroeconomic Instability?”, Macroeconomic Dynamics 21, 1023-1058.
Meng, Qinglai and JianpoXue(2015), “Balanced-Budget Consumption Taxes and Aggregate Stability in a Small Open Economy”, Economic Letters, 137, 214-217.
Milesi-Ferretti, Gian Maria (2000), “Good, Bad or Ugly?On The Effects of Fiscal Rules with Creative Accounting”, IMF Working Paper 172.https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2000/wp00172.pdf
Nishimura, Kazuo, CarineNourry, Thomas Seegmuller and Alain Venditti(2013), “Destabilizing Balanced-Budget Consumption Taxes in Multi-sector Economies”, International Journal of Economic Theory, 9(1), 113-130.
Nourry, Carine, Thomas Seegmuller and Alain Venditti(2013),“Aggregate Instability under Balanced-Budget Consumption Taxes: A Re-examination”, Journal of Economic Theory, 148(5), 1977-2006.
Ortigueira, Salvador (2012), “Markov-perfect Optimal Fiscal Policy: The Case of Unbalanced Budgets”, Universidad Carlos III de MadridUC3M Working papers.https://e-archivo.uc3m.es/bitstream/handle/10016/15788/we1230.pdf?sequence=1
Schmitt-Grohe, Stephanie and Martin Uribe (1997a), “Balanced-Budget Rules and Macroeconomic (in)Stability”, Journal of Economic Theory, 119(2), 357-363.
Schmitt-Grohe, Stephanie and Martin Uribe (1997b), “Balanced-Budget Rules, Distortionary Taxes, and Aggregate Instability”, Journal of Political Economy, 105(5), 976-1000.
Schmitt-Grohe, Stephanie and Martin Uribe (2000), “Price Level Determinacy and Monetary Policy under a Balanced-Budget Requirement”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 45(1), 211-246.
Todorova, Tamara P. and Marin Kutrolli (2019), “An Expanded Mltiplier-Accelerator Model”, Journal of Economics and Political Economy, 6(4), 368-382.
Turnovsky, Stephen J. (1977),Macroeconomic Analysis and Stabilisation Policy, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Westerhoff, Frank H. (2006),“Samuelson’s Multiplier-Accelerator Model Revisited, Applied Economic Letters, 13(2), 89-92.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Those authors who have publications with this journal accept the following terms:
- The authors will retain their copyright and guarantee the journal the right of first publication of their work, which will be simultaneously subject to the Creative Commons Recognition License that allows third parties to share the work whenever its author is indicated and its first publication is this magazine.
- Authors may adopt other non-exclusive licensing agreements for the distribution of the published work (eg, deposit it in an institutional telematic file or publish it in a monographic volume) whenever the initial publication is indicated in this magazine.
- Authors are allowed and advised to disseminate their work through the Internet (eg in institutional telematic files or on their website) before and during the submission process, which can produce interesting exchanges and increase the citations of the published work. (See The effect of open access ).